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Untitled Document
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Transport and evolution model of slicks
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CHARACTERISTICS
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DESCRIPTION
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Identification
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Mu- Slick
Model originator: MUMM
Model operator: S.Scory
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Scope
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The Mu-Slick model is designed to forecast the fate
(transport, spreading and ageing) of a spill of oil
or of a floating chemical at sea
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Conceptual background
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The transport of the slick is modelled by the transport
of the centre of mass with as velocity the sum of the
water current speed and the wind induced surface speed.
The spreading is computed assuming that the slick remains
circular. The radius is the solution of the equilibrium
between gravity, surface tension, inertia, interfacial
and internal viscous force.
The ageing of the slick takes into account the processes
of evaporation, emulsification, direct sea-air interaction,
dispersion and dissolution. The variations of the physical
characteristics due to the ageing processes are also
parameterised and the impact of some combating actions
is also incorporated.
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Inputs
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To be run, the model needs on input,
the spill coordinates
the spilled volume
the bathymetry (coastline)
the fields of water current speed and of wind
speed in the area of interest
some characteristics of the oil or of the chemical
(i.e. specific mass, surface tension, molecular weight,
vapour pressure, cinematic viscosity, emulsification
capability and evaporable fraction).
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Geographical coverage
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The model works inside the geographical area covered
by the hydrodynamic model to which it is linked
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Outputs
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The model provides hourly information about the slick
position, the slick shape and the characteristics of
the oil
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Validation
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The trajectories computed by the model are strongly
dependent on the reliability of the water current and
wind fields available. Results obtained within the frame
of real incidents, with the currents computed by Mu-Storm
model and the meteorological forecasts provided by the
U.K. Meteorological Office have been very satisfactory.
Concerning the ageing processes, no in-depth validation
of the model results has been done possible so far.
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Present field of application
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The model coupled to the Mu-Storm model is ready to
forecast the fate of a spill occurring anywhere in the
North Sea, 24 hours a day.
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Possible complementary use
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The transport module of Mu-slick could can also be
used to compute estimate the drift of any floating device.
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Present limitations, future needs and possible development
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The model is essentially limited by the assumptions
made concerning the shape of the slick. The model must
be considered as being able to provide first order estimates.
On-going developments: The model is currently being
expanded to a "particle"-version (Mu-slicklets,
which models the oil by a lot of little slicks.).
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Reference of representative publication
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S.Scory, 1982, Etude du déplacement et de l'étalement
d'une nappe d'hydrocarbures déversée en
mer, sous l'effet du vent, des courants et de la houle.
Travail de fin d'études présenté
à la Faculté de Sciences appliquées
de l'Université de Liège, Belgique, 147
p.
S.Scory, 1984, Oil spill modelling. Lecture given at
the University of Liège, Intensive course on
modelling and management of marine systems, September
3-22, 1984
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Coastal forecast
| TIDES |
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OSTEND
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[TAW] |
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Time |
Elev. |
| Low |
8:30 |
-0.31 m |
| High |
1:40 |
4.73 m |
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Harmonic prediction 
Ostend 1980–2020: |
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| WIND |
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WESTHINDER |
| Speed |
7.35 m/s |
| Sector |
104° , ESE |
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| WAVES |
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AKKAERT |
| Height |
0.45 m |
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| CURRENTS |
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WESTHINDER
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| TEMPERATURE |
OSTEND |
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| SALINITY |
OSTEND |
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| TRANSPORT |
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